Modesto, CA crime rate

In 2025 the Modesto Police Department reported 587.2 violent crimes and 1,899.0 property crimes per 100,000 residents it covers. The FBI's estimates for California and the US for the same year are beside each number.

Data as of 2025 (FBI), checked October 30, 2026. How we got these numbers

Data notes.

  • 2021: not usable. 11 of 12 months of violent or property crime sent as zero, so the year has no rates.
Violent crime per 100k, 2025
587.2
California 432.7US 327.6
Property crime per 100k, 2025
1,899.0
California 1,792.2US 1,534.8

How does Modesto compare with California and the US?

ModestoCaliforniaUnited StatesPer 100,000 residents, 2025. Each row has its own scale.
Violent crime0 to 657.7
587.2Modesto
Murder0 to 4.6
0.0Modesto
Rape0 to 54.8
48.9Modesto
Robbery0 to 106.3
87.8Modesto
Aggravated assault0 to 504.6
450.5Modesto
Property crime0 to 2,126.9
1,899.0Modesto
Burglary0 to 308.1
189.5Modesto
Larceny-theft0 to 1,663.8
1,485.5Modesto
Motor vehicle theft0 to 354.7
181.8Modesto
Arson0 to 47.2
42.1Modesto

Arson has no FBI state or US estimate, so its row shows Modesto only.

What offenses were reported in Modesto, 2025?

Modesto crime by offense, 2025
OffenseReportedPer 100kCaliforniaUSvs 2024vs 2021
Violent crime
Violent crime1,298587.2432.7327.6down 11.9%2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero
Murder00.03.54.1down 100.0%2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero
Rape10848.933.436.1down 19.4%2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero
Robbery19487.894.949.4down 23.1%2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero
Aggravated assault996450.5301.0238.0down 7.9%2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero
Property crime
Property crime4,1981,899.01,792.21,534.8down 24.3%2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero
Burglary419189.5275.1193.6down 29.1%2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero
Larceny-theft3,2841,485.51,200.51,144.1down 19.9%2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero
Motor vehicle theft402181.8316.7197.0down 44.6%2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero
Arson9342.1Not estimatedNot estimateddown 26.8%2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero

Reported = offenses known to the Modesto Police Department and sent to the FBI. California and US are FBI estimates for the same year. Changes compare rates of full years only.

Violent crime rate, 2021 to 2025

ModestoCaliforniaUnited States
2021: Not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zeronot usable020040060080020212022202320242025Modesto 2022: 758.6Modesto 2023: 651.6Modesto 2024: 666.7Modesto 2025: 587.2United States 2021: 387.0United States 2022: 388.7United States 2023: 379.5United States 2024: 362.9United States 2025: 327.6California 2021: 481.2California 2022: 503.6California 2023: 506.9California 2024: 475.3California 2025: 432.7Modesto 587.2California 432.7United States 327.6

2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero. No rate is drawn for that year, and the line breaks there.

Show as a table
Violent crime rate by year, Modesto
YearModestoUnited StatesCalifornia
2021Not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero387.0481.2
2022758.6388.7503.6
2023651.6379.5506.9
2024666.7362.9475.3
2025587.2327.6432.7

Property crime rate, 2021 to 2025

ModestoCaliforniaUnited States
2021: Not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zeronot usable07501,5002,2503,00020212022202320242025Modesto 2022: 2,462.1Modesto 2023: 2,261.0Modesto 2024: 2,507.9Modesto 2025: 1,899.0United States 2021: 1,832.3United States 2022: 1,973.8United States 2023: 1,934.1United States 2024: 1,761.1United States 2025: 1,534.8California 2021: 2,165.3California 2022: 2,361.5California 2023: 2,326.1California 2024: 1,964.9California 2025: 1,792.2Modesto 1,899.0California 1,792.2United States 1,534.8

2021: not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero. No rate is drawn for that year, and the line breaks there.

Show as a table
Property crime rate by year, Modesto
YearModestoUnited StatesCalifornia
2021Not usable: 11 of 12 months reported as zero1,832.32,165.3
20222,462.11,973.82,361.5
20232,261.01,934.12,326.1
20242,507.91,761.11,964.9
20251,899.01,534.81,792.2

Is Modesto safe?

We don't rate cities as safe or unsafe. What the FBI's numbers show: in 2025 the violent crime rate the Modesto Police Department reported, 587.2 per 100,000 residents, was higher than California's 432.7, and higher than the US rate of 327.6 (FBI estimates). It fell 11.9% from 2024.

What these numbers can't tell you:

  • How crime differs between neighborhoods (the FBI publishes agency totals only).
  • Crimes nobody reported to the police.
  • How many offenses involved visitors and commuters, who are not in the population count.

Violent crime reported to the FBI by Modesto police came to 1,298 offenses in 2025, or 587.2 per 100,000 residents covered by the Modesto Police Department. That rate was 1.4 times the FBI's California estimate of 432.7 and 1.8 times the US rate of 327.6. The property crime rate of 1,899.0 was above the state's 1,792.2 and the national 1,534.8.

Violent crime has fallen 22.6% since 2022, from 758.6, including 11.9% in the last year. Property crime is down 22.9% from 2022 and 24.3% from 2024. Motor vehicle theft fell the most of the property offenses in both periods, 49.8% since 2022 and 44.6% since 2024, to 181.8 per 100,000.

That motor vehicle theft rate was below both the California estimate of 316.7 and the US rate of 197.0. Robbery is down 34.1% since 2022 and aggravated assault 21.5%. Aggravated assault made up 77% of violent crime and larceny-theft 78% of property crime.

The department reported 0 homicides for 2025. Its 2021 data is flagged as not usable, because almost every month was sent as zero, so the trend starts in 2022. The remaining 4 of the 5 years have all 12 months, and NIBRS reporting began in 2022.

The Stanislaus County Sheriff's Office reports separately; its cases are not part of these numbers.

Written from the numbers on this page. Every figure and every comparison is checked against the stored FBI data before publishing.

Police employees, 2025: 1.52 per 1,000 residents (199 officers, 138 civilians), FBI Crime Data Explorer. Shown as context, not as a measure of crime.

Other California cities

The nearest California cities with a page, in alphabetical order. VC = violent crime per 100,000, 2025.

Sources

  • FBI Crime Data Explorer, Modesto Police Department (ORI CA0500200), offenses known to law enforcement and police employees, 2021 to 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026. Crime Data Explorer
  • FBI Crime Data Explorer, California and United States estimated crime (Summary Reporting System estimates), 2021 to 2025.
  • FBI, "UCR Statistics: Their Proper Use" (why we don't rank cities).
Every stored file behind this page (11)
  • Modesto Police Department (CA0500200): violent crime, offenses known to law enforcement, January 2021 to December 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026 (var/raw/cde/summarized_agency_CA0500200_violent_crime__from-01-2021-to-12-2025.json)
  • Modesto Police Department (CA0500200): murder, offenses known to law enforcement, January 2021 to December 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026 (var/raw/cde/summarized_agency_CA0500200_homicide__from-01-2021-to-12-2025.json)
  • Modesto Police Department (CA0500200): rape, offenses known to law enforcement, January 2021 to December 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026 (var/raw/cde/summarized_agency_CA0500200_rape__from-01-2021-to-12-2025.json)
  • Modesto Police Department (CA0500200): robbery, offenses known to law enforcement, January 2021 to December 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026 (var/raw/cde/summarized_agency_CA0500200_robbery__from-01-2021-to-12-2025.json)
  • Modesto Police Department (CA0500200): aggravated assault, offenses known to law enforcement, January 2021 to December 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026 (var/raw/cde/summarized_agency_CA0500200_aggravated_assault__from-01-2021-to-12-2025.json)
  • Modesto Police Department (CA0500200): property crime, offenses known to law enforcement, January 2021 to December 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026 (var/raw/cde/summarized_agency_CA0500200_property_crime__from-01-2021-to-12-2025.json)
  • Modesto Police Department (CA0500200): burglary, offenses known to law enforcement, January 2021 to December 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026 (var/raw/cde/summarized_agency_CA0500200_burglary__from-01-2021-to-12-2025.json)
  • Modesto Police Department (CA0500200): larceny-theft, offenses known to law enforcement, January 2021 to December 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026 (var/raw/cde/summarized_agency_CA0500200_larceny__from-01-2021-to-12-2025.json)
  • Modesto Police Department (CA0500200): motor vehicle theft, offenses known to law enforcement, January 2021 to December 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026 (var/raw/cde/summarized_agency_CA0500200_motor_vehicle_theft__from-01-2021-to-12-2025.json)
  • Modesto Police Department (CA0500200): arson, offenses known to law enforcement, January 2021 to December 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026 (var/raw/cde/summarized_agency_CA0500200_arson__from-01-2021-to-12-2025.json)
  • Modesto Police Department (CA0500200): police employees, 2021 to 2025, fetched Oct 29, 2026 (var/raw/cde/pe_agency_CA0500200__from-2021-to-2025.json)